MARKET REGIMES

Why market time horizons matter

The same price can support different interpretations at different scales.

Educational draft · Informational research, not investment advice. Descriptions of the engine reflect its experimental implementation status.

One price, several questions

A short-term rise can occur within a longer decline. This is not a contradiction: the windows contain different observations. The important first step is to define the horizon relevant to your question, then inspect what nearby horizons add or challenge.

Observation is not holding period

A lookback is the history used in a calculation. A source-bar interval is the spacing of observations. A holding period is the time a position is intended to remain open. These are separate choices. In current engine v1, Tactical diagnostics use hourly bars and 7, 14, and 28-day lookbacks, while the intended holding horizon is 1–3 days.

Make disagreement explicit

If short-window momentum rises while longer-window volatility remains stressed, preserve both facts. Averaging everything into a single attractive number may hide a meaningful conflict. The current Structural horizon can veto risk-taking when coverage is insufficient.

Sources and context

Edgar E. Peters, Fractal Market Analysis (Wiley, 1994). External references provide methodological context; implementation statements are based on the application’s retained technical documentation reviewed September 6, 2026.

Product interpretation and limitations are described in the implementation overview and internal API overview.

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